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Opinion

OPEC decision: how much more oil will this bring the market?

OPEC have agreed to keep the current total limit, but will now attempt to comply with it. Oddly enough, low compliance with cuts has been from members and non-OPEC signatories to the cuts producing too little rather than too much. This has not come about through want to of trying, but because some signatories (most notably Venezuela) have been unable to reach their quotas. Clearly the only way 100% compliance with the total can be achieved when some countries cannot pump any more, is by those with spare capacity doing the job for them. The UAE oil minister, Suhail Al Mazrouei who did the talking, was asked repeatedly in the press conference about how the allocation would work. He always gave the same answer - the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC - a committee formed of OPEC and non-OPEC members to monitor the implementation of cuts) will figure it out. As yet there is no plan as to how the limits will be reallocated. Presumably we will need to wait until the JMMC has met to agree on this.

Oil & Gas

Oil ministers back raising output despite Iran walkout

OPEC and its allies reached a preliminary agreement in the face of strong opposition from Iran to boost production by a theoretical 1 million barrels a day — the actual increase will be smaller as several countries are unable to raise output.