Updated: Earnings more than double at ‘reliable’ BP as major projects come alive

Clair Ridge is the second phase of development of the massive Clair field, 45 miles off Shetland.
Clair Ridge is the second phase of development of the massive Clair field, 45 miles off Shetland.

Better “reliability” and the start-up of several major projects helped oil giant BP more than doubled its earnings last year.

The London-headquartered firm booked underlying replacement cost profits of £9.7 billion in 2018, against £4.7bn in 2017.

Six major projects cranked into life in 2018, including Clair Ridge, west of Shetland, in November.

New upstream schemes also got going in Egypt, Russia, Azerbaijan, the Gulf of Mexico and Australia.

It means BP brought 19 new major projects online from 2016-2018.

Other UK highlights for 2018 included discoveries at Capercaillie in the central North Sea and Achmelvich, west of Shetland.

The company also received approval for the Alligin and Vorlich projects.

BP sold a 75% stake in the Magnus field to EnQuest, while interests in Bruce, Keith and Rhum were divested to Serica Energy.

Operational reliability was “very strong” at BP last year, with group production averaging 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (boed), 2.4% higher than in 2017.

Upstream production was 3% higher at 2.5m boed.

Total revenues jumped 24% to £232bn last year, while pre-tax profits rose to £12.8bn from £5.5bn, aided by higher oil prices.

Gulf of Mexico oil spill payments totalled £2.4bn.

This year’s output is expected to be higher again due to the ramp-up of new projects.

Meanwhile, BP intends to complete more than £7.6bn worth of divestments over the next two years.

In a sign of the energy transition’s increased influence over oil firms, BP acquired UK electric vehicle charging company Chargemaster and solar developer Lightsource BP expanded internationally.

BP chief executive Bob Dudley said: “We now have a powerful track record of safe and reliable performance, efficient execution and capital discipline.

“And we’re doing this while growing the business – bringing more high-quality projects online, expanding marketing in the Downstream and doing transformative deals such as BHP.

“Our strategy is clearly working and will serve the company and our shareholders well through the energy transition.”

Chief financial officer Brian Gilvary said: “Operating cash flow excluding working capital change was up 33% for the full year and 17% higher than last quarter, including a positive contribution from our new US assets.

“The continued strong cash flow growth underpins the balance sheet as we absorb the BHP acquisition and deliver more than $10 billion of divestments over the next two years.”

Stuart Joyner, energy specialist sales at equity researcher Redburn, said: “The ‘BP investment case’ was on an upward trajectory but has improved further still  after buying BHP’s shale business for £8bn.

“BP’s free cash flow yield is set to inflect to its highest level on record in the early 2020s. Its targets are on track: to generate £10.7-11.5bn of pre-tax upstream free cash flow in 2021, off a baseline of £9.9-10.7bn of capex.

“Segment-by-segment breakouts implied that these targets are conservative. The 900,000 boed production ramp-up to 2021 is going to cost £11.5bn less than thought in 2015.

“And a further 40-50% free cash flow uplift is possible by 2025, at constant capital and $55 per barrel real oil.”

John Moore, senior investment manager at Brewin Dolphin, said: “Despite a volatile oil price at the tail end of last year, BP more than doubled profits in 2018 as it showed cost, capital, and operational discipline across its businesses.

“The company is aware of the changing energy landscape and is active in responding to that by going through significant internal changes, in addition to external moves such as its deal to purchase BHP Billiton’s shale gas assets.

“While small at this stage, the acquisition of electric vehicle charging company, Chargemaster, also offers a foothold in the electric car future. 2019 may well be a year of further oil price volatility and additional industry change; however, the company has shown a great deal of resilience and an ability to adapt to a rapidly changing energy landscape, which leaves it well placed.”

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