Professor Alex Kemp

North Sea

North Sea industry transition to continue in 2020


The North Sea oil industry has been in transition for some years following the collapse of oil prices in late 2014.  Large cost reductions have been painfully achieved.  Production has increased due to a combination of new fields coming on stream plus a substantial increase in production efficiency to around 75%.  But new field investment expenditure has fallen dramatically since 2015 and exploration remains at a relatively low level reflecting principally the maturity of the province as well as oil and gas prices far below their pre-2015 levels.

Oil & Gas

Opinion: Alex Kemp on ‘THE’ challenge for the industry


The purpose of the new research paper by Linda Stephen and myself is to throw light on the implications of “lower for longer oil prices” on long term activity in the UKCS to 2050. The oil price scenarios employed are $50 and $60 in real terms. For the year 2050 these translate into $96.1 and $115.3 in money-of-the day terms. The price scenarios are not forecasts.

Oil & Gas

$50 crude not the cue for North Sea revivial, Prof Kemp says


The return of plus $50 crude after a seven month absence will not be enough to spark a wave of new North Sea development wells, a top oil industry economist said yesterday. Benchmark Brent crude rose 1% to $50.22 at one point yesterday, its highest level since early November. The price has rallied from a 13-year-low of about $28, which was reached in January, but is still well below the summer 2014 high of more than $110.


North Sea oil experts to line up at Aberdeen Uni conference this week


Oil experts from industry and academia will debate the obstacles to extracting the North Sea’s remaining reserves at a conference in Aberdeen this week. The list of speakers includes top petroleum economist Professor Alex Kemp, Shell’s UK director for upstream, Paul Goodfellow and Amec Foster Wheeler’s group president for northern Europe and Commonwealth of Independent States, John Pearson. The event, organised by Aberdeen University, will take place at the King’s Conference Centre on Thursday.